Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.032385 0.038206 0.044251 0.050960 0.058161 0.065625 0.073916
2026-01-18 0.023521 0.031742 0.040821 0.051413 0.063277 0.076020 0.090618
2026-01-25 0.017989 0.027485 0.038547 0.051976 0.067493 0.084576 0.104544
2026-02-01 0.013782 0.023912 0.036339 0.051969 0.070508 0.091322 0.116035
2026-02-08 0.009613 0.019597 0.032625 0.049654 0.070406 0.094160 0.122787
2026-02-15 0.006998 0.016845 0.030477 0.048911 0.071882 0.098586 0.131141
2026-02-22 0.005427 0.015285 0.029665 0.049655 0.075002 0.104814 0.141468
2026-03-01 0.004203 0.014000 0.029053 0.050523 0.078170 0.111019 0.151702
2026-03-08 0.003406 0.013262 0.029108 0.052184 0.082263 0.118281 0.163137
2026-03-15 0.002571 0.012223 0.028599 0.053005 0.085238 0.124153 0.172896
2026-03-22 0.002500 0.012751 0.030458 0.057044 0.092299 0.134972 0.188514
2026-03-29 0.001552 0.011007 0.028647 0.055933 0.092703 0.137647 0.194420
2026-04-05 0.001072 0.010222 0.028360 0.057026 0.096090 0.144159 0.205156
2026-04-12 0.000615 0.009182 0.027552 0.057339 0.098456 0.149434 0.214452
2026-04-19 0.000315 0.008335 0.026971 0.057914 0.101125 0.155059 0.224152
2026-04-26 0.000100 0.007366 0.026043 0.057905 0.102965 0.159614 0.232528
2026-05-03 NaN 0.005728 0.023595 0.055455 0.101415 0.159833 0.235560
2026-05-10 NaN 0.004769 0.022303 0.054668 0.102047 0.162749 0.241836
2026-05-17 NaN 0.004331 0.022040 0.055456 0.104817 0.168362 0.251403
2026-05-24 NaN 0.003964 0.021876 0.056374 0.107750 0.174172 0.261206
2026-05-31 NaN 0.003830 0.022237 0.058131 0.111848 0.181471 0.272843
2026-06-07 NaN 0.003498 0.022067 0.059000 0.114690 0.187152 0.282480
2026-06-14 NaN 0.003968 0.023945 0.063265 0.122317 0.198998 0.299747